The best thing about sports is that we don’t ever really know what will happen. The worst thing about sports betting is that we don’t ever know what will happen. It is a challenge, but also fun, to try and predict what will happen in games. Last week, I didn’t play the game between Ole Miss and Florida, but I would’ve been wrong. This week I’m hoping to be right about this matchup between Florida and Missouri.
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The Florida Gators come into this game with a 4-0 record and are coming off of arguably the most impressive victory in College Football this season. The Gators hosted Ole Miss last week, and they rocked the Rebels. In fairness, this was a trap, and I did mention it in a preview I provided in a different article. Ole Miss had just come off an emotional win and was riding high; it was the ultimate let-down spot. Florida, to their credit, took advantage of the situation and won 52-28.
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Florida’s Jadan Baugh runs the ball on Saturday against the Ole Miss Rebels (Photo by Dustin Markland/Getty Images)
They really haven’t had to play anyone outside of Ole Miss this season. They started the season with a demolition of Florida Atlantic, winning by 45. Then they beat Campbell by 49 in Week 2. Their biggest challenge was going on the road to face Auburn. They were able to win 44-39 in that game, and they were up big for most of the game. However, late in the game, they gave up two touchdowns in the final eight minutes to make the game closer than it needed to be.
Missouri is the 25th-ranked team in the country, and they currently sit at 3-1 for the year. They opened the season with a win over Arkansas Pine Bluff. It wasn’t much of a contest, with a 40-point win over the Golden Lions. The following week, they did have a bit of a challenge as they faced Kansas and won on the road with a 17-point victory over the Jayhawks. Week 3 saw them take on Troy and win by 10. Last week, they wouldn’t escape Mississippi State and lost by seven on the road.
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Running back Ahmad Hardy of the Missouri Tigers runs for a touchdown against the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium in Columbia, Mo., on Sept. 13, 2025. (Ed Zurga/Getty Images)
In order to win this one, they will need to find a way to stop a Florida team that has had no trouble scoring the ball this year. However, Florida also needs to be concerned about how they will stop quarterback Austin Simmons. He has 947 passing yards for the season and 11 touchdown passes. He has been really strong in almost every game. Last week he threw for 295 yards and three touchdowns. He won’t really run the ball, rushing 10 times for 1 yard this season, so he will look to attack the Gators through the air.
Florida Gators fans cheer during the game against the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Oct. 18, 2025, at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium at Florida Field in Gainesville, Fla. (Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
It is hard to believe that the Gators are going to lose this game, but it wouldn’t be surprising if this is a tougher match than their game last week. Florida struggled on the road against Auburn, and I think Missouri will make things difficult for the Gators as well. However, I think the over is the right play here. Both teams have strong offenses, and I think the defenses will struggle to stop them. Give me the over.
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