Sir John Curtice said recent polls have suggested Conservative voters are considering throwing their support behind the newly-founded Brexit Party and Ukip in response to the latest delay to Britain’s withdrawal from the European Union. But despite the frustration many Brexiteers have expressed toward Theresa May, Sir John pointed out there is an “even split” between the two parties – suggesting neither will secure a majority at the upcoming European parliamentary elections. Speaking to RT UK, the polling guru said: “One of the reasons why it looks like the Conservatives would, at least potentially, be heading for a reversal is that they seem to be losing votes to both Ukip and the Brexit Party.
“At the moment support, insofar as the polls are registering it, for Brexit and Ukip is divided fairly evenly between them.”
According to Mr Curtice’s latest polls, the Brexit Party led by Nigel Farage has 10.3 percent of preferences at the moment while Ukip recorded 7.5 percent. The two eurosceptic parties could aspire to get up to 15 MEPs among themselves at the European parliamentary elections in May.
The result would leave Ukip nearly 10 seats less than the ones the party won during the 2014 EU elections, where it won a record 26.6 percent of supports.
Sir John continued: “What Nigel Farage will be hoping to do is to become very clearly the leading eurosceptic party in the early weeks of the six-week campaign so he can begin to hoover up the Ukip vote.
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“If indeed the vote remains divided, the ability of either one to pick up MEPs, for what they’re going to be worth, will certainly be limited.”
The elections will be held between May 23 and 26, and see more than 700 MEPs elected by the public, 73 of which will be representing Britain for as long as the country remains in the bloc.
While the British Government announced plans to take part in the elections, the Prime Minister may try to push her Brexit deal through Parliament before May 22 and call the elections off at the last minute.
The previous three attempts to pass the withdrawal agreement through the Commons were all rejected.
A YouGov poll of 1,843 people conducted on April 10 to 11 found the Labour Party is a clear leader with 24 percent of the public’s backing, with the Conservative trailing at 16 percent and the Brexit Party at 15 percent.
Nigel Farage is believed to be preparing to unveil the party’s candidate line up in the coming days after revealing the sister of eurosceptic MP Jacob Rees-Mogg, Annunziata, had joined the ranks of the new party after years as a Conservative Party member.
John Longworth, former leader of the British Chamber of Commerce and longtime supporter of Brexit, was also announced as a candidate to stand for the party in May.
In a column for the Daily Telegraph, the former head of the British Chambers of Commerce said MPs have “done everything possible to frustrate, delay and undermine Brexit”.
He claimed both the Tories and Labour “lied, obfuscated and dissembled” in failing to fulfil the result of the 2016 EU referendum.