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A former FBI agent who worked in behavioral analysis told Fox News Digital that Savannah Guthrie’s latest Instagram video was directed towards a suspect who could be an amateur criminal feeling the heat of a now massive investigation.
Guthrie began the video by saying that after two weeks of her mother, Nancy Guthrie, 84, being missing, she and the rest of the Guthrie family are not giving up. She then made a plea
“It’s never too late. You are not lost or alone, and it is never too late to do the right thing,” she said in the video. “And we are here. We believe in the essential goodness of every human being. And it’s never too late.”
An undated photo of Nancy Guthrie and Savannah Guthrie was provided by NBC in response to the disappearance of the 84-year-old mother of the “Today” show host. (Courtesy of NBC)
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Jonny Grusing worked in the FBI’s Denver Division for 25 years, investigating violent crimes, missing persons, serial killers and more. He coordinated the behavior analysis unit for the division for 13 of those years.
He said the FBI is likely behind Guthrie’s messaging. Since Nancy went messing, four videos have been posted to her Instagram. She delivered messages in three of them, the first directed towards a suspect with what Grusing described as an attempt to humanize her mom, the second a plea to bystanders to come forward with information, and Sunday night’s video.
Grusing does not believe the suspect in Nancy’s case is a sophisticated criminal, and believes that Savannah’s Sunday message was coached by FBI profilers with that in mind to try to get the suspect to turn himself in.
FBI agents canvass homes near Nancy Guthrie’s home in Tucson, Friday, Feb. 6, 2026. (Kat Ramirez for Fox News Digital)
ADVANCED VIDEO EQUIPMENT SEEN AT NANCY GUTHRIE HOME AS EXPERTS BREAK DOWN ITS POSSIBLE ROLE
“I think he got in way over his head with whatever happened with Nancy, and they’re hoping that he is panicking enough since his family and friends haven’t turned him in,” said Grusing. “They’re appealing to him directly, like, ‘look, guy, this is not going away, you just need to summon up the courage in any humanity you have left and do it.”
Drawing on his decades of experience, Grusing noted the signs of the suspect’s amateurishness. The suspect, who was already masked, kept turning his head away from the doorbell camera, and even attempted to obscure the camera’s view with brush pulled from a front garden.
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“If you look at him and the awkwardness of this guy walking up there, this guy is not a professional,” Jonny Grusing said. “So I don’t think whatever happened in the house is what he intended to happen. What I would say is that he didn’t plan for this sort of news coverage, for this sort of intense searching, for the FBI to come in and for this to be going on two weeks later.”
The FBI released new surveillance footage of the suspect in the disappearance of Nancy Guthrie on February 1, 2026. (X/ @FBI DirectorPatel)
He also told Fox News Digital that no matter how long the investigation takes, the FBI and the Pima County Sheriff’s Department are committed to seeing through, and that it’s only a matter of time before the suspect is taken into custody.
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“He’s going to be arrested. At one point, he’s going to get turned in, something’s going to break. So the SWAT team is going to come through his door, and I think that’s what they’re saying. Even if it’s not [an appeal to] his humanity, he needs to get the courage to turn himself in and be proactive with this.”
Nancy Guthrie disappearance timeline:
Jan. 31, 2026
• Between 9:30–9:45 p.m. – Family drops Nancy off at home
• 9:50 p.m. – Garage door closes (per authorities)
Feb. 1, 2026
• 1:47 a.m. – Doorbell camera disconnects
• 2:12 a.m. – Security camera detects motion
• 2:28 a.m. – Pacemaker disconnects from phone application
• 11:56 a.m. – Family checks on Nancy after she misses weekly church livestream gathering
• 12:03 p.m. — 911 called
• 12:15 p.m. — Sheriff’s deputies arrive at home